By Oli Brown; International Organization for Migration
This file makes a speciality of the prospective destiny eventualities for weather swap, usual mess ups and migration and improvement, trying to raise knowledge and locate solutions to the demanding situations that lie forward. The file states that although it is outlined as a turning out to be main issue, the results of weather switch for human inhabitants are doubtful and unpredictable . In 1990, the Intergovernmental Panel on weather Change (IPCC) famous that the best unmarried influence of weather switch may be on human migration, with thousands of folks displaced via coastline erosion, coastal flooding and agricultural disruption. due to the fact then, a variety of analysts have attempted to place numbers on those flows of weather migrants, the main broadly repeated prediction being two hundred million by means of 2050. The examine issues out that the medical foundation for weather swap is more and more good proven, and confirms that present predictions as to the "carrying means" in huge elements of the realm could be compromised via weather change.--Publisher's description. �Read more...
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Additional resources for Migration and climate change
86, Ottawa. 2005 “Assessing the security implications of climate change-related migration”, presentation to workshop on Human Security and Climate Change, Oslo, 21-23 June. 2006a “Changement climatique, migrations et sécurité” Les Cahiers de la sécurité, 63(4): 95-120. 2006b “Migration as an adaptation to climate change”, Climate Change. Myers, N. 2005 “Environmental refugees: An emergent security issue”, 13th Economic Forum, May, Prague 23-27. , and J. Lowe 2004 “Benefits of mitigation of climate change for coastal areas”, Global Environmental Change, 14: 229-244.
No other country has yet been willing to set a precedent by explicitly accepting climate migrants under a refugee category. Sweden is the only country even to get close. Swedish immigration policy mentions environmental migrants as a special category as a “person in need of protection” who is unable to return to his native country because of an environmental disaster. However, the extent to which this includes climate change impacts has not yet been clarified. 136 However, there are increasing examples of immigration concessions for victims of natural disasters – albeit on an ad hoc basis.
1998, “The role of environmental degradation in population displacement”, Environmental Change and Security Project Report, Issue 4 (Spring 1998): p. 7. UNHCR, “UNHCR’s contribution to the inter-agency response to IDP needs – supplementary appeal”, UNHCR, May 2006, p. 3. IOM, “Discussion note: Migration and the Environment:, Ninety-fourth session, MC/ INF/288, 2007, p. 1-2. The temperature spread refers to the current best estimates for 21st average temperature rises under low emission (B1) and high emission (A1F1) IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES).